Press release from Business Wire India
Source: RNB Research
Saturday, December 19, 2009 01:39 PM IST (08:09 AM GMT)
Editors: General: Consumer interest, Economy, People, Politics; Business: Accounting & management consultancy services, Advertising, PR & marketing, Business services
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Todays ChanakyaT Projection on Jharkhand Exit Polls
New Delhi, Delhi, India, Saturday, December 19, 2009 -- (Business Wire India) -- TODAYS CHANAKYAT POLL
-- The Election was held in 5 stages & ended on 18th December.
-- The Exit Poll was conducted among 14,345 adults in Jharkhand.
-- Congress fought the elections together in tie up with Babulal Marandi's Party - JVM while the BJP was with JD(U)
-- As usual Todays ChanakyaT surprising findings predicts a hung assembly with the Congress + is ahead of BJP combine.
-- As per the analysis of Todays ChanakyaT the main fight is between BJP & Congress
Hung Assembly Predicted in Jharkhand
VOTE % & SEAT FORECAST
-- Congress+ : Votes 30% +/- 4% & Seats 33 +/- 5
-- BJP+ : Votes 28% +/- 4% & Seats 28 +/- 5
-- Independent/JMM/Others : Votes 42% +/- 5% & Seats 20 +/- 5
Methodology
The Exit Poll was conducted in the state of Jharkhand from 25th November to 18th December among 14345 adults. Figures for age,sex,race/ethnicity,region were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population.
Primary data was collected through AMERICAN Stratified methods of sampling so that the minimum error of sample exists and that too may be rectified. The representative data so collected includes all the parameters for the poll outcomes of the state of Jharkhand.
The secondary data was also used for the outcome of change of popularity with caste distributions of voters: urban; male-female, literate-illiterate; employed-unemployed voters etc. etc. was considered.
After collection of representative data, these data's were condensed in tabulation form to study their salient features. Where necessary these data's are also put in to graphs & frequency distribution table. With the help of interpolation, the missing data were estimated for the primary representative data.
The model for TIME SERIES analysis is also used with original data for the trend of the rate of change of popularity index with reference to the last Assembly election 2005 & last Lok Sabha 2009 held. The different types of fluctuations were eliminated. Corrections of the estimations were checked through time reversal test. In all; the seven layer checks & counter checks were made to determined and summarized.
About RNB Research
Todays ChanakyaT is the registered TradeMark of RNB Research. We were the only one in India who predicted Congress victory for 200 seats in Lok Sabha 2009 and our analysis was covered in electronic as well as print media during Lok Sabha 2009
RNB Research is one of the Asia's leading full service market research agency with offices in India, China, UAE, UK &USA. We have developed 11 models of research exclusively for Asian Markets based on our 15 years of extensive research analysis.RNB Research offers expertise in wide range of industries including Automobiles, Banking & Financial Institutions, Consumer Products, Food & Beverages, Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare, Media , Retail , Telecommunication & Technology Products.
©2009 RNB Research-All rights reserved
To view the press release with tables, please click on the link below:
Exit Polls Release
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http://www.BusinessWireIndia.com/attachments/RNBResearch_Release(2).DOC
RNBResearch_Release(2).DOC
CONTACT DETAILS
Anuj Kumar, RNB Research, +9193104 22229, press@rnbresearch.com
KEYWORDS
CONSUMER, ECONOMY, PEOPLE, POLITICS, CONSULTANCY SERVICES, MARKETING, BUSINESS SERVICES
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