BWI: India TV Opinion Poll Projects a UPA-NDA Photo-Finish

Press release from Business Wire India
Source: India TV
Monday, April 13, 2009 08:44 PM IST (03:14 PM GMT)
Editors: General: Consumer interest, People, Politics, Social issues; Business: Advertising, PR & marketing, Media & entertainment
Release no: 19679
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India TV Opinion Poll Projects a UPA-NDA Photo-Finish


New Delhi, Delhi, India, Monday, April 13, 2009 -- (Business Wire India) -- The India TV-C Voter opinion poll conducted between April 3 and 11 among more than 30,000 respondents has thrown up a projection leading to a photo-finish between the Congress-led UPA and the BJP-led NDA. The poll has also been analysed under four distinct scenarios.

The UPA is projected to win 187 seats and the NDA is projected to get 189 seats. The Third Front led by Left parties and BSP is projected to win 115 seats, while the fourth combine of RJD-LJP-SP is set to corner 41, say survey results, telecast over India TV on Monday evening at prime time.

UPA and the NDA have not only a photo-finish projection, but the same is true for both the national parties. The Congress and the BJP are projected to win an identical 143 seats each. The survey has taken into account the mood of the people during the uproar over Varun Gandhi's inflammatory remarks leading to his arrest, as also the shoe-throwing incident leading to Tytler and Sajjan Kumar's exit.

While the UPA's projection of 187 seats include Congress 143, NCP 13, DMK combine 13, Trinamool 12, UDF 2, National Conference 3 and JMM 1, the NDA's projection of 189 seats include BJP 143, Janata Dal(U) 18, Shiv Sena 12, AGP 5, Akali Dal 5, Ajit Singh's Rashtriya Lok Dal 4, and O P Chautala's INLD 2.

The Third Front's projection of 115 seats include Left parties 33, Mayawati's BSP 32, AIADMK+ combine 24, TDP/TRS combine 14, BJD 9, Janata Dal(S) 2 and Bhajan Lal's HVM 1.

The Fourth Front led by Lalu-Mulayam-Paswan trio is projected to bag 41 seats, with RJD-LJP getting 15 and the Samajwadi Party getting 26 seats. Thus, eventually adding the fourth front's tally into the UPA kitty, gives it a total of 228 seats, 44 seats short of the magic figure of 272.

India TV-C Voter poll expert Yeshwant Deshmukh has projected four eventual scenarios:

Scenario 1: UPA 187 + Fourth Front 41 + Outside support from Left, JD(S) and others 46 giving a total of 274 seats.

Scenario 2: NDA 189 +BJD 9 + AIADMK combine 24 + Outside support from BSP 32, TDP/TRS 14, Others 11 giving a total of 279.

Scenario 3: Third Front govt with inside and outside support: Third Front 83 + Fourth Front 41 + NCP, Trinamool, UDF, NC, JMM 31, and outside support from UPA and others 154 giving a total of 309.

Scenario 4: Third Front govt with BSP : Third Front 115 + NCP 13, Trinamool 12, UDF, NC JMM 6, plus outside support from UPA 154 giving a total of 300 seats.

Regionwise, the India TV-C Voter survey projects the following:

NORTH ZONE:

J & K : Total seats: 6, Cong 1, NC 3, BJP 1, Others 1.

Madhya Pradesh : Total: 29, Cong 5, BJP 24

Delhi : Total 7 , Cong 5, BJP 2

Himachal Pradesh : Total 4 , BJP 3, Cong 1

Haryana Total 10 : Cong 5, BJP 2, INLD 2, HVM 1

Punjab Totatl 13 : Cong 5, Akali Dal 5, BJP 3

Uttarakhand : Total 5 , BJP 3, Cong 2

Uttar Pradesh Total 80, BSP 32, SP 26, BJP 12, Cong 6, RLD 4.

EAST ZONE:

West Bengal Total 42, Left 26, Trinamool 12, Cong 4

Assam Total 14, AGP 5, BJP 6, Cong 2, Others 1

Bihar Total 40 , JD(U) 17, BJP 8, RJD/LJP 15

Jharkhand Total 14, BJP 7, Cong 3, JMM 1, RJD 1, JD(U) 1, Others 1.

Chhatisgarh Total 11, BJP 9, Cong 2

Orissa Total 21, Cong 9, BJD 9, BJP 3.

WEST ZONE:

Maharashtra Total 48, Cong 13, NCP 12, BJP 11, Shiv Sena 12.

Gujarat Total 26, BJP 19, Cong 7.

Rajasthan Total 25, Cong 15, BJP 10.

SOUTH ZONE:

Andhra Pradesh: Total 42, Cong 26, TDP/TRS 14, PRP 2

Tamil Nadu Total 39, AIADMK+ 24, DMK+ 13, Cong 2.

Kerala Total 20, Cong 13, UDF 2, Left 5

Karnataka Total 28, BJP 18, Cong 8, JD(S) 2.

NORTHEAST AND UNION TERRITORIES

Total 20, Cong 9, BJP 2, Left 2, NCP 1, Others 6.

Please Click here for detailed box of these figures in tabular form.


For picture(s)/data to illustrate this release click below:

http://www.BusinessWireIndia.com/attachments/final_nationwide_survey.pdf
final_nationwide_survey.pdf


CONTACT DETAILS
Rohit Bansal, India TV, +91 (120) 3051000, rohitbansal@indiatvnews.com

KEYWORDS
CONSUMER, PEOPLE, POLITICS, SOCIAL, MARKETING, MEDIA

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